Trucking companies on California/Mexico border expecting 40% drop in US-bound loads by EOY

Trucking companies on the California/Mexico border expect a 40% drop in US-bound loads by the end of 2025, industry leaders say. 

October and November typically see a spike in deliveries from Mexico to the US, says Alfonso Millán Chávez, a member of the Northern Baja California Chamber of Freight Transporters, a Mexican trucking organization. This year, trucking companies have seen a significant drop in October and November as compared to previous years. 

“Our activities as transport companies, as we enter this 11th month of the year, we can say it’s been an unfortunate year,” Chávez said to CBS 42.

Statistics from Mexico show that $4.4 billion in US-bound loads from Mexico in May 2024. In May 2025, that number only reached $3.5 billion. 

“This just proves we’ve had a very complicated year.” he said, citing tariff uncertainty for the freight slowdown. “All they are doing is discouraging investment, all it’s done is generate restlessness in commerce along the border,” he continued. 

“We’ve had a drop in volume in truck crossings, let’s hope in 2026 we see a recovery, we’re hoping for a spike in business to reach our budgetary goals next year.”